Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making

ISBN: 9783319526041

$54.99 $46.74

This book introduces a new perspective on risk seeking behaviour, developing a framework based on various cognitive theories, and applying it to the specific case-study of Turkey’s foreign policy toward Syria. The author examines why policy makers commit themselves to polices that they do not have the capacity to deliver, and develops an alternative theoretical model to prospect theory in explaining risk taking behaviour based on the concept of overconfidence. The volume suggests that overconfident individuals exhibit risk seeking behaviour that contradicts the risk averse behaviour of individuals in the domain of gain, as predicted by prospect theory. Using a set of testable hypothesis deduced from the model, it presents an empirical investigation of the causes behind Turkish decision makers’ unprecedented level of risk taking toward the uprising in Syria and the consequences of this policy.

Category:
Title:
Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making
ISBN-13:
9783319526041
Author:
Publisher:
Springer International Publishing
Published Date:
20170405
Edition:
1
Binding
Hardback
Pages:
142
Language:
English
Product Dim.:
8.27 H x 5.83 W (inches)

Imran Demir is Assistant Professor of Political Science and International Relations in the School of Political Science, Marmara University, Turkey. He earned his PhD from the Department of Political Science at the University of Missouri, USA, and holds a Master’s degree in International Relations from the Middle East Technical University, Turkey.

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About the Author

Imran Demir is Assistant Professor of Political Science and International Relations in the School of Political Science, Marmara University, Turkey. He earned his PhD from the Department of Political Science at the University of Missouri, USA, and holds a Master’s degree in International Relations from the Middle East Technical University, Turkey.

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